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Market News: The Bank of Japan will consider not raising interest rates at its next policy meeting.On the afternoon of December 13th, the Central District Court of Seoul, South Korea, examined the necessity of the arrest of Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department, and Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department suspected of participating in the emergency martial law incident. On the 11th, the special investigation team for emergency martial law of the National Investigation Department of the South Korean Police made an emergency arrest on the suspicion of "civil unrest" against the police chiefs of Zhao Zhihao and Seoul, and applied to the court for their arrest warrants on the 12th. Later, Kim Fung-sik said that he would give up attending the review on the necessity of arrest. On 13th, Zhao Zhihao didn't answer a reporter's question after arriving at Seoul Central District Court, but his defense lawyer said that Zhao Zhihao "opposed martial law and wanted to protect democracy, not the object of punishment". The police believe that Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi met with Yin Xiyue and participated in the martial law plan before the martial law was issued by South Korean President Yin Xiyue, and assisted Yin Xiyue in enforcing martial law by sending police to control the National Assembly. Zhao Zhihao is also suspected of sending police to the Central Electoral Affairs Commission to help enforce martial law. The Seoul Central District Court will make a decision on whether to issue an arrest warrant for them late at night on the 13th or early on the 14th. (CCTV News)The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.

Weixing Co., Ltd.: Compared with the first half of the year, the growth rate of acquiring orders in the second half of the year gradually declined, but the overall growth rate still maintained. Weixing Co., Ltd. recently said in a conference call that due to the influence of the terminal consumption boom, downstream brand customers were cautious in placing orders, and the growth rate of acquiring orders in the second half of the year gradually declined compared with the first half of the year, but the overall growth rate still maintained. In recent years, the company has mainly focused on promoting globalization strategy, intelligent manufacturing strategy and improving manufacturing level, technical level and product quality, and achieved certain results.Guangxi Energy established a new energy company, and the enterprise search APP showed that Fengyuan (Pinggui District, Hezhou City) New Energy Co., Ltd. was established recently, with Xie Jianheng as the legal representative and a registered capital of 400 million yuan. Its business scope includes: energy storage technical services; Contract energy management; Big data service; Electric vehicle charging infrastructure operation, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Guangxi Energy.ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.

On the 13th, silver fell by 1.91%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract silver was 2,502, up or down by -1.91%, with a turnover of 1,004,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 30,444 lots. The total turnover of silver futures contracts was 1,505,900 lots, an increase of 417,500 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 335,600 lots, a decrease of 15,200 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 251,300 lots, an increase of 17,500 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)More than 100 underground money houses have been destroyed by public security organs to crack down on the money-changing party. The Ministry of Public Security held a press conference today (13th) to inform the public security organs throughout the country of the effectiveness of measures to crack down on the money-changing party and derivative crimes. According to the press conference, in May 2024, the Ministry of Public Security deployed the national public security organs to carry out special work to crack down on the rectification of the "money exchange party" and derivative crimes, cracked a series of cases, arrested a group of "money exchange party" personnel, and smashed a group of "underground money houses". The whole chain destroyed a group of criminal gangs and achieved remarkable results. Since the action, the Ministry of Public Security has listed and supervised 16 major cases; The National Immigration Bureau instructed the border inspection authorities in Zhuhai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou and other places to actively cooperate with the special work class to carry out verification and disposal and personnel transfer. Since the special action, 142 personnel of the "money exchange party" have been seized and handed over to the special work class according to law. A total of 263 derivative criminal gangs suspected of illegal business operations, organizing illegal border crossing, fraud, illegal detention, etc. were destroyed in various places, and more than 100 underground money houses were destroyed, and more than 80 billion yuan of funds involved were identified. The headquarters in front of the Ministry of Public Security further strengthened the clues, organized relevant provinces to carry out five centralized arrests, arrested 846 suspects and cracked a number of major cases.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.